FRAGILITY CENTERED.
GLAFPOL is a research and analytical firm based in East Africa and the Horn of Africa, delivering data-driven, locally sourced insights that enable organizations, governments, and companies to address the complexities of fragile and conflict-affected environments.
Our work is rooted in a fragility-centered approach, conducting research that spans governance, security, humanitarian challenges, and the critical links between environmental issues and development outcomes. Our team of local researchers, with extensive networks and access to remote, hard-to-reach areas, works under the guidance of experienced professionals in research and data science. This approach ensures that our research and data is analyzed, contextualized, and translated into insights firmly grounded in real-world conditions, precisely tailored to meet our clients' unique needs.
Our services range from field-based data collection and primary research to in-depth analysis of political, conflict, security, and humanitarian developments, with advanced predictive analytics to forecast trends and anticipate emerging risks.
RESEARCH IN FRAGILE-CONTEXTS
We conduct research and analysis that is fragility-centered. Fragility isn’t merely a symptom of conflict or governance failure; it is a driving force that amplifies political tensions, fuels instability, weakens institutions, and exacerbates social, humanitarian, and environmental vulnerabilities. Fragile societies often find themselves trapped in a repeating cycle, where political instability, weak governance, and unmet humanitarian needs continuously reinforce each other, deepening the crisis.
We recognize that fragility is not an isolated condition but a complex issue inextricably linked to governance, security, and environmental factors. To address these interconnected challenges, we take a context-specific and locally nuanced approach. Our work goes beyond surface-level analysis, drawing on local knowledge and extensive on-the-ground networks to conduct in-depth research that uncovers the underlying political, economic, and social dynamics at play.
DATA DRIVEN INSIGHTS
Our data-driven approach integrates a blend of robust qualitative and quantitative research methodologies. We conduct in-depth qualitative interviews with both political elites and community members, gather critical data on security and political incidents, and run large-scale surveys to capture nuanced local perspectives.
Our analytical dashboard captures political, social, and security events, offering detailed records of incidents, patterns, and trends, with data starting from 2020. We leverage innovative technologies like machine learning to detect emerging patterns and analyze complex regional dynamics. Additionally, we use predictive models and advanced algorithms to forecast potential developments, providing forward-looking insights that guide strategic decisions.
By combining local knowledge, data analysis, and predictive modeling, this integrated approach ensures that our analysis is deeply contextualized and accurately captures the complexities of fragile environments.
GLAFPOL exists and thrives because of our people.
Our core team, spread across the U.S. and East Africa, is supported by a network of consultant field researchers and local partners.
Embracing a mentality of doing things differently, we emphasize partnerships and a start-up spirit, ensuring that every employee, consultant, and intern is, first and foremost, a researcher and an analyst.
